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Mainz rallies to stun WolfsburgSoccer Betting Lines08/28/2010 - Wolfsburg, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mainz came back from three goals down at Volkswagen Arena on Saturday to record a 4-3 win over Wolfsburg, giving the club its second win in as many games to start the season. Wolfsburg lost its opener to Bayern Munich on a late goal from Bastian Schweinsteiger, but Steve McClaren's team looked well on its way to three points as Edin Dzeko scored twice and Diego netted a third goal in his debut inside of 30 minutes. However, Mainz pulled a goal back before halftime through Morten Rasmussen before Elkin Soto and Andre Schurrle scored goals to level the match. Then, with four minutes to play, Adam Szalai completed the comeback after he took a pass from Radoslav Zabavnik and beat goalkeeper Diego Benaglio with a shot into the lower-left corner of the net. Dzeko dominated the early part of the match as he put Wolfsburg ahead by collecting a loose ball, beating two Mainz defenders, and slotting his shot past goalkeeper Christian Wetklo. The second goal arrived four minutes later when Dzeko played a one-two with Marko Mandzukic and flicked the return pass inside the far post. Diego completed his move from Juventus to Wolfsburg this past week, and he made an immediate impact by scoring on the half-hour mark when he intercepted a poor back pass from Bo Svensson, rounded the goalkeeper and rolled the ball into the empty net. Mainz got a bit of hope before the break when a long-range shot from Soto was deflected off the post and into the net by Rasmussen, while Soto turned home Lewis Holtby's cross three minutes into the second half to reduce the deficit to 3-2. Schurrle's long-range effort in the 58th minute brought Mainz all the way back to level terms, and Szalai completed the stunning rally with a goal of his own, giving Mainz two wins from its opening two matches. Marko Arnautovic scored twice as Werder Bremen handed Cologne a 4-2 defeat, Hamburg scored three times in the second half for a 3-1 victory over Eintracht, Hannover topped Schalke, 2-1, two goals from Papiss Cisse helped Freiburg beat Nurnberg, 2-1, while Hoffenheim slipped past St. Pauli, 1-0, with Isaac Vorsah scoring the lone goal in the 87th minute.
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Sportsbook Betting LinesWho Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error. “You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said. “The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10). How the Opening Line Is MadeThe opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades. Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias. The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line. Why Sports Betting Lines ChangeOnce the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action. Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite. Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.” To visit this internet sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your sports betting needs and World Series odds. |
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