Blue Jays getting lucky with a pair of aces
Baseball Betting Lines
08/17/2010 -
Toronto, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - When the Toronto Blue Jays started the year
without ace Roy Halladay for the first time in 12 seasons, the mood among fans
and prognosticators alike was doom and gloom. However, the Jays' young
pitching staff has surprised the league by showing maturity well beyond its
years.
Although the team sports a 4.12 ERA, good enough for just 17th in the majors,
the number has been bloated by a spotty bullpen that has had trouble finding an
identity. If you look at the horses in the starting rotation who have 115
innings pitched or more through the team's first 117 games, the ERA drops to
3.93, a number that ranks among the better staffs in the league.
ERA doesn't tell the whole story though, especially in the American League East
where it seems like the Blue Birds must contend with the big bats of the
Yankees, Red Sox and Rays on a nightly basis. As a team the Jays have racked up
863 strikeouts (7th in MLB), 10 shutouts (10th) and 64 quality starts (16th),
while holding opponents to a .250 average (9th in MLB). Pretty impressive
numbers when one considers the starting rotation has an average age in the
mid-20s.
From a starting pitching standpoint the future looks very bright, but who is
the real ace on this team of talented young arms? The answer to that question
is definitely a matter of debate.
The year started with Shaun Marcum being placed in the No. 1 role because of
some dominant pitching during the 2008 season coupled with a swift and
successful return from Tommy John surgery in 2009. Marcum, the grandfather of
the staff at only 28, can almost always be counted on to calm the team when he
takes the mound. His surgical precision, which is a must when you consider that
his fastball tops out at only 88 miles per hour, mixed with a devastating
changeup has made him a consistent option at the top of the rotation. But his
stuff isn't the best on the team, and he's gotten into some trouble recently
when his location has suffered. Simply put, there are younger, fresher arms on
the squad that have been making a case for staff No. 1.
Ricky Romero is the owner of one of those arms and his follow-up to a
successful rookie season in '09 has been brilliant. The Jays are so confident
in the 25-year-old sophomore that they recently signed him to a new contract
that will pay him $30.1 million dollars over the next five years in order to
retain his services. So far this year, the 6'0", 210-pound lefty has shaved
almost a run off his '09 ERA, which now sits at an impressive 3.43. His bread-
and-butter looping curve ball has been vexing batters all year, and with a
fastball that touches 93 mph to go along with an improved changeup, the 6th
overall pick from the 2005 draft is finally reaching his potential.
When crowning an ace, it's not just the numbers but also the workload that must
be considered. With three complete games and one shutout to go along with a
team-leading 153 innings pitched so far this season, Romero is fulfilling all
aspects of the role.
So just as it sounds like the Blue Jays are ready to crown their new ace, a
look at the roster reveals another arm with even more raw potential than
Romero's. Brandon Morrow has the stuff to make big league managers salivate,
and the fact that general manager Alex Anthopoulos acquired the big righty from
the Seattle Mariners for fringe reliever Brandon League makes Morrow's breakout
season even sweeter. The Mariners selected the 6'3", 195-pounder fifth overall
back in 2006 and never gave him a chance to blossom in the starting rotation
before shipping him to Toronto, an enormous mistake that has the Blue Jays
reaping the rewards.
The 26-year-old can be inconsistent at times, and his 4.45 ERA reveals that he
can give up runs when he has trouble finding the plate, but the talent level is
staggering. With a heater in the mid-to-upper 90's, a split finger fastball, a
hard breaking curveball and a developing changeup, Morrow has the tools to be
special. He leads the majors among qualified starters with an insane 10.67 K/9
ratio and when he has command of all four of his pitches, he's nearly
unhittable. When everything is working for Morrow, the results are scary,
as evidenced by one-hitting the Rays in a masterful 17-strikeout performance
that saw him come one out shy of a no-hitter on August 8.
Although his stuff is undeniable, Morrow needs to find more consistency on a
start-to-start basis before being mentioned among the top pitchers in the
league. His teammate, Romero, may still end up having the best pitching
numbers on the team as the year closes out, but as their careers progress, one
must give the edge to Morrow because of his incredibly high ceiling.
Who knows, maybe both guys end up becoming prolific starters and the Jays end
up with a pair of aces anchoring the rotation for years to come. To be sure,
the talent is there to make that happen.
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Elite 8 NCAA Tournament Betting at online sportsbook MySportsbook.com
In what should be an outstanding Saturday of March Madness betting action, the top four teams in the South and West Regions square off in what should be extremely close match-ups. Three of the four teams are coming off extremely close games on Thursday evening, only UCLA won semi comfortably over Pitt 64-55.
Ohio State is coming off their second game in a row where in all reality they should have lost. Of course that doesn’t matter now since the name of the game is “survive and advance” but as the tournament continues, they can’t afford to keep getting down to their opponents early. Kansas also avoided a scare by holding off a scrappy Southern Illinois squad. In the third thrilling game of the evening Memphis pulled off the minor upset (+3.5) despite being the higher seed to Texas A&M.
Although the spreads are fairly small for Saturday’s games, MySportsbook.com continue to bet against the underdogs. Despite OSU’s two scares, 86% of the “betting public” feels the Buckeyes (-1.5) have what it takes to make the Final Four. In fact, so much of the early money is on OSU that the line has already moved from -1 to -1.5. In the second game of the doubleheader, Kansas and their high-powered offense are 2 point favorites as they take on UCLA and their effective defense. About 63% of the early money thus far is once again backing the favorites. If those percentages stay that high, don’t be surprised if this line moves as well. If you like Kansas (-2) you might want to jump on it early.
Memphis vs. Ohio State
Both squads were involved in thrillers on Thursday evening and should come out fired up. OSU can ill afford to get behind early like they did versus their previous two opponents (Xavier, Tennessee). Greg Oden needs to stay out of foul trouble; the Buckeyes are a completely different team when he is on the court. Memphis definitely has the athleticism and length to match-up with OSU. Of Memphis’ five leading minute earners, the shortest of the bunch is 6’5”. Each team has a very effective defense; Memphis surrenders 62.3 PPG whereas the Buckeyes give up only 61 PPG. With those type of numbers, it isn’t surprising that Memphis covered the UNDER almost 69% of the time this season. As a favorite, OSU has covered the UNDER almost 66% of the time over the last three seasons. The major concern for Memphis which is magnifies this time of the year is their brutal foul shooting (62%). This season, OSU is 17-11 ATS versus teams with a winning record and 7-2 ATS in all tournament games. Memphis has been an extremely reliable cover in tournament play in recent years with a 23-8 ATS record over the last three seasons.
UCLA vs. Kansas
In the second game of Saturday’s doubleheader, UCLA will play in a role which they are very unfamiliar with that of the underdog. Only twice this season have they been getting points from the handicappers and both times they covered. Over the last three seasons UCLA is a reliable 23-7 ATS in this unfamiliar role. UCLA has not fared well against Big 12 opponents recently going 1-7 ATS since 1997. Giving up only 59.6 PPG, UCLA will definitely look to do what they do best: keep this game as low scoring as possible. Their defense has been especially tough during the tournament. UCLA opponents have been able to muster up only 48.7 PPG while shooting a combined 34.5% from the field. UCLA definitely has a challenge at hand with a Kansas team that is capable of putting points on the board in bunches. As a team, they average 79 PPG and shoot an impressive 49.6% from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc. During the tournament Kansas has been “lights out” from the field having shot 56.2%.
With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action. Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.
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